Showing posts with label tennis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tennis. Show all posts

Thursday, 12 July 2012

Wimbledon 2012 thoughts

Since I was on holiday in France when Wimbledon was on, and they don't care much for tennis if it's not Roland Garros, I missed about 95% of Wimbledon. I recorded "Today at Wimbledon" on BBC2 and play from some random days, and finally got through all the tennis footage I could watch today. So, here are some thoughts on what I saw, keeping in mind I hardly saw everything.

  • Berdych - Gulbis on Center Court for whatever reason. And Gulbis actually winning. Almost like the whole thing was, you know, scripted. Gulbis post-match interview was pretty great though. 
  • Nadal going out early was obviously a big shock. Well, the result, but if you saw the match, you couldn't help but admire Rosol. He was playing with no fear, refused to be intimidated by Nadal's tactics (including   this little bump), and just looked like a supercharged Söderling or Berdych. I was following the livescores and I was sure Nadal would win in 4 if not 5, so yeah, that was quite a shock.
  • Federer - Benneteau, a day after Nadal - Rosol. Federer was 2 points away from an early exit in that 4th set tie break. Just to put things in perspective. 
  • Clijsters losing to Kerber. Not that big of an upset, but the scoreline (6-1, 6-1) was pretty harsh. Last Wimbledon for Kim as well. 
  • Federer - Malisse. I actually saw this match (streaming on my laptop), and I was very very worried when Federer asked for a medical time-out. Malisse, a big Federer fan, was upset too, so upset he lost the match :) 
  • Murray - Ferrer. Murray very close to being 2 sets down at one point. Just to put things in perspective.
    Related to that: Murray - Tsonga. Both matches were similar in the way Andy reacted afterwards: huge  relief, a sense of gratitude, and pointing up, looking up, and even talking to the sky. Would love to know what was going on in his mind at that time. 
  • Federer - Djokovic. Djokovic certainly wasn't 100% that day, but Federer had a focus (and first serve) I didn't see in his recent slam semifinals. Did the closed roof help? I think it helped Federer to focus on his own game, but I don't think it was a disadvantage to Djokovic in any way. Federer was just better that day, and that's all that matters in the end. From what I saw, the match wasn't as good as last year's Roland Garros semifinal, but the third set was great. 
  • Federer - Murray. It was so good to see Murray focused and aggressive. Before the match, I was torn on who would win this, the way Murray played in his previous 2 matches he really could win against Federer. After the first set, I was 100% convinced he could win this. But, the momentum changed. The first time with Federer basically breaking Murray out of nowhere at the end of the second set.  Then the rain break/closing of the roof, did that help Federer again? Same answer as with the Djokovic match. I think the most important momentum swing in this match was that 20 minute game, in which Federer eventually broke Murray to get ahead 4-2. Murray needed a few games to recover from that, and by that time he was already a break behind in the fourth set. Still, it was a great match, easily the best final for me in some years, I'd even say the best since Federer-Roddick in 2009 (and no, I'm not just saying that as a Federer fan, but as a fan of fast, aggressive tennis and drama). 
  • Murray's runner-up speech. Yes, like a lot of people in the audience, I got something in my eye. What can I say? I don't feel sorry for him at all, I'm happy he's actually made it a great match, it was the best slam final he played. That he came up short might be heartbreaking now, but just like Federer I'm sure he'll win (at least!) one eventually. He can beat Nadal, he can beat Federer, and if Djokovic plays like he did in the semis now he could beat him too. It will happen, I'm sure of it.
    I also can't help but notice most of the people downplaying Murray are Brits who only ever watch tennis when Murray's playing. Murray might have not won a slam, but he's up against three of the best guys who have ever played this sport. I say he's doing pretty damn well. And this final proved that, thanks to Ivan Lendl's help, he really is improving, both mentally and game-wise (more aggressive). He really deserves more respect from his countrymen. 


I'll leave you with just one picture. 

This was Wimbledon 2012.

Monday, 30 January 2012

Australian Open 2012 review

Well, like I said, my predictions were wrong :)

I also have to admit I like the first week of a slam so much more than the second week, especially in the past couple of years, where there's a certain predictabilty, especially in finals and eventual winners of the tournament. The first week is more exciting because there's always going to be a (minor) upset (here: Nishikori over Tsonga), or a youngster/relatively unknown player going on a streak (here: Kukushkin, Tomic), or an "old" guy showing off (here: Hewitt). While the quality of tennis is generally better in the second week, I'd say the first week is more exciting if your love for tennis isn't just player-related.

Sunday, 15 January 2012

Australian Open 2012 preview

Due to the time difference, the Australian Open is basically the open that happens while I sleep. So it's probably my least favourite of the four majors, but I know I'm going to spend some nights in front of the tv and only going to bed at 6AM.
Anyway... now for my analysis/predictions/nonsense.

THE MEN

first quarter:
Probably the easiest quarter for the 2 highest seeds. The only one here who could cause an upset is Raonic. A 4th round match against Djokovic is extremely likely. I expect a good match, but Djokovic is going to win eventually.
QF: Ferrer-Djokovic

second quarter:
A much trickier quarter. Murray-Harisson will probably be a good first match, but I still expect Murray to pull through in -at most- 4 sets. I'm also interested in what Nishikori will do here. Still, I don't expect any major surprises here.
QF: Murray-Tsonga

third quarter:
Interesting quarter with Dolgopolov and Del Potro. Verdasco-Tomic is an interesting first round match. I'm going with Tomic here. It's kind of hard to guess where Fish is mentally and physically, but I do expect him to be upset by Del Potro. I'm also expecting a Federer-Dolgopolov 4th round.
QF: Federer-Del Potro

fourth quarter:
This quarter has Baghdatis, Nalbandian and Dimitrov floating around. I'm honestly not expecting them to do any major damage.
QF: Nadal-Berdych

Semifinals:
Djokovic-Tsonga
Federer-Nadal
Tsonga instead of Murray? Yes. If Tsonga can play like he did at the end of last year, he can easily take on Murray - even if it takes him 5 sets. I expect Federer-Del Potro to be a 5-setter as well.

Final:
Tsonga-Nadal
Winner:
Nadal
Surprised? You shouldn't be. The more Nadal complains about "not being ready to win", the more he's actually going to win. It's his "worst" slam, although he did win 100% of the finals he played here!! (he only played one).
I suppose a Djokovic-Federer final (with Djokovic winning, of course) is far more likely, but I like to be surprised. Of course, being a Federer fan, I'd like him to win everything, but I'm not sure about his form right now.

THE WOMEN

first quarter:
Wozniacki, Clijsters, Li Na and Jankovic are in this quarter. Wozniacki will get either Safarova or Jankovic in the 4th round - could be interesting. I expect her to pull through though. I'm also not 100% if Clijsters is fit enough, I guess we'll see it in the first few rounds. Fourth round against Li Na is very likely.
QF: Clijsters-Wozniacki

second quarter:
Some interesting names here (Schiavone, Goerges, Penetta) but I still think the highest ranked players will be in the quarterfinal:
QF: Azerenka-Radwanska

third quarter:
Sharapova, Serena Williams, Kuznetsova, it's like we're in 2004 again! This quarter might have the most interesting matches in the first week. I'm also not sure how fit Serena is right now, but if she's fit enough, she'll get to the quarterfinal for sure.
QF: Williams-Sharapova

fourth quarter:
I don't see any surprises here.
QF: Kvitova-Stosur

SF:
Clijsters-Azerenka
Williams-Kvitova

F:
Clijsters-Kvitova
W: Kvitova
(well unless Kvitova loses in the first round, like she did at the US Open -_-)

Note: nothing ever happens the way I predict it, so if you want to bet on something, try the opposite of everything I said here.

Monday, 2 January 2012

Tennis 2011 review & 2012 preview



What can I say about 2011 that hasn't already been said?
Nothing.

Except maybe that Nadal didn't have a bad year at all. Djokovic dominated him, sure. But he still won 4 tournaments and reached 10 finals (3 GS finals - won one). How anyone can call this a bad year... the mind boggles. Maybe he should've won more, yes, but it's obvious Djokovic was just too good, even for Nadal.


At the end of the year, it's also fun to look back on the year, and see the flow of the year. Most of the year it was all Djokovic of course, but at the end, Murray won 3 tournaments in a row in Asia, and then Federer won 3 tournaments in a row (and I'm sure Federer fans will forever remember his 6-3, 6-0 victory over Nadal at the World Tour Finals). So while Djokovic was the dominant force for most of the year, he didn't do much after the US Open, which is why I can't rank his season over Federer's 2006 and 2007 seasons.

As for live tennis, the only thing I saw was one day at the BNP Paribas Open (aka Bercy). It was a bit last minute, so I only got tickets for Friday. The line-up was nice though, especially the Djokovic-Tsonga match.........which then got canceled because Djokovic pulled out. Boo. I was really looking forward to that. Still, I got to see Federer (even though it was probably his worst match in the tournament, or even in the three tournaments he won), Ferrer-Isner (I quite like Isner now, Ferrer was pretty much how I e
xpected, still like him though), and Murray-Berdych. That was maybe the "best" match, not in terms of tennis, but excitement. You had the feeling that either of them could win. They're far from my favourite players really, but it was still...watchable. I now respect Berdych a lot more thanks to this match, he's really not as dumb as people think. And he does deserve a place in the top 10. At number 9 or 10, maybe, but still!

Also, I took some pictures! 653 to be exact...trimmed them down to 160 and put them online, right here. Yes, they're pretty awful, I didn't even tag them properly and stuff. Oh well.

As for next year, I might go to Roland Garros for the first weekend, or fri-sat-sun at Bercy again. Although the World Tour Finals are right after Bercy, which means the top players will probably pull out of Bercy, or lose early so they have a few days off before the WTF. So a weekend of Roland Garros makes more sense I guess.


And now my craaaaazy 2012 predictions:
- at least 2 slams and an olympic medal for Nadal. Nadal ALWAYS bounces back. Even though, like I said, 2011 wasn't that bad at all for him.
- Djokovic is going to drop down to number 2 after Wimbledon. Nadal back to 1.
- Federer might win a slam, but he'll also not make the second week of one (my guess is Roland Garros). He'll not reach number 1 again.
- Someone outside the big 4 will win the WTF.
-Del Potro in the top 5 at the end of the year, will be in the US Open final.
-Tsonga is going to defeat another top 4 player in 5 sets.
-The young dogs (Nishikori, Dolgopolov, Tomic etc.) will upset a few players, but won't make an impact on the top 10.
- Kvitova will be n°1 for most of the year, and will also defend her Wimbledon title.
-Wozniacki won't have a good year. I see her dropping to n°3 or even lower.

I'll stop now, that's enough nonsense already!

Saturday, 27 August 2011

US Open draws!

Yes, time for some craaaaazzeee predictions!

The men
first quarter: don't see many problems for Djokovic here. 4th round against Gasquet might be good, QF should be against Monfils or Berdych. I'm going with Bird-itch.
The only other notable name in that quarter is Dolgopolov, and he might take a set of Djokovic in the third round, but I don't see him or anyone else doing an upset in this quarter.

second quarter: another brilliant draw for Federer *rolls eyes* I'm not that worried about the early rounds - Tomic might be a problem, but he's just as likely to lose in the first round. Same with Cilic. Federer really should reach the quarterfinal, but that means a match against Tsonga or Fish. Since that 1/8th of the draw has 5, yes, FIVE qualifiers in it, a Tsonga/Fish 4th round is pretty much a given. Unless Verdasco or Llodra suddenly decide to win more than 2 matches in a row.

third quarter: quite a few yummy seeds here. Soderling, Del Potro, Simon, Wawrinka, and Murray. Isner-Baghdatis is a first round, might be good. Del Potro-Simon is a possible 3rd round, but otherwise I can't see any big upsets here. I'm expecting a Del Potro - Söderling and Wawrinka - Murray 4th round, and I'm going with a Murray - Del Potro quarterfinal.

fourth quarter: the one with Nadal. And some other people. Should be a Ferrer-Nadal QF, unless one of the peasants decide to surprise Nadal (not impossible, with his recent lack of self-confidence). Ljubicic or Nalbandian might face him in the third round, if they believe in their chances it might be a 5 setter...but I still expect Nadal to reach the semis.

So, the quarterfinals:
Djokovic-Berdych
Federer-Fish
Murray-Del Potro
Nadal-Ferrer

semis:
Federer-Djokovic
Nadal-Murray

final:
Murray-Djokovic

winner:
Murray

Yeah that's right. Although I'm really not ruling out Nadal, I get the feeling the winner of the US Open will come from the Nadal-Murray match. If it is a Federer-Djokovic semi, I expect another 5-setter, which will leave either man tired for the final (blame this stupid "Super Saturday" thing, ugh). I know a lot of people doubt Nadal's current mental strenght, but at slams he's a different person. Doesn't mean he's invincible, but still.
As for Federer...no, I can't see him winning this, he'll probably have a tough QF, and an even tougher semi, and I just can't see him play 3 great matches in a row. I want him to win, otherwise this will be the first year since 2002 where he hasn't won a slam! End of an era. Unless he suprises everyone here.
As for Djokovic, I get the feeling he'll either win here, or lose in the semi or the final, and then goes on to win the WTF.

Women
Do I really have to do the quarter by quarter analysis, even if we know it's going to be a S.Williams vs. Sharapova final? Heh.

Okay fine. First quarter: Wozniacki might already get Kuznetsova or Hantuchova in round 4. She'll no doubt fluke-win again, but Petkovic will not be that easy. Petko will have to get past Li Na first, but I'm still going with a Petkovic - Wozniacki QF.

Second quarter: a more interesting quarter, with Azarenka, Serena Williams, Schiavone, Ivanovic and Jankovic in it. Azarenka-S.Williams might be a 3rd round, but I don't think Serena is going to have any trouble with her. 4th round should be Williams-Ivanovic. Other 4th round should be Jankovic-Schiavone, I'm going with Jankovic winning that match. So, a Jankovic-Williams QF.

Third quarter: Wimbledon winner Kvitova on one side, Wimbledon runner-up Sharapova on the other side. Bring it on! There are some dangerous floaters in this quarter, but I'm still going with a Kvitova-Sharapova QF, and Maria taking revenge for her Wimbledon loss.

Fourth quarter: probably the most open quarter. Bartoli-Zvonareva would be the logical QF choices, but this quarter also has Venus Williams, Petrova, Lisicki, Stosur and Cibulkova. Zvonareva - V.Williams and Stosur-Bartoli are likely 4th round matches, so let's say...a Zvonareva-Stosur QF?

semis:
Serena Williams -Petkovic
Sharapova - Zvonareva

final:
Serena Williams - Sharapova

winner:
Sharapova. No wait, Serena. On second thought...Sharapova. Maybe. I don't know. Okay, you know what? Sharapova. There.

Anything else? No. Bye.