Showing posts with label us open. Show all posts
Showing posts with label us open. Show all posts

Saturday, 27 August 2011

US Open draws!

Yes, time for some craaaaazzeee predictions!

The men
first quarter: don't see many problems for Djokovic here. 4th round against Gasquet might be good, QF should be against Monfils or Berdych. I'm going with Bird-itch.
The only other notable name in that quarter is Dolgopolov, and he might take a set of Djokovic in the third round, but I don't see him or anyone else doing an upset in this quarter.

second quarter: another brilliant draw for Federer *rolls eyes* I'm not that worried about the early rounds - Tomic might be a problem, but he's just as likely to lose in the first round. Same with Cilic. Federer really should reach the quarterfinal, but that means a match against Tsonga or Fish. Since that 1/8th of the draw has 5, yes, FIVE qualifiers in it, a Tsonga/Fish 4th round is pretty much a given. Unless Verdasco or Llodra suddenly decide to win more than 2 matches in a row.

third quarter: quite a few yummy seeds here. Soderling, Del Potro, Simon, Wawrinka, and Murray. Isner-Baghdatis is a first round, might be good. Del Potro-Simon is a possible 3rd round, but otherwise I can't see any big upsets here. I'm expecting a Del Potro - Söderling and Wawrinka - Murray 4th round, and I'm going with a Murray - Del Potro quarterfinal.

fourth quarter: the one with Nadal. And some other people. Should be a Ferrer-Nadal QF, unless one of the peasants decide to surprise Nadal (not impossible, with his recent lack of self-confidence). Ljubicic or Nalbandian might face him in the third round, if they believe in their chances it might be a 5 setter...but I still expect Nadal to reach the semis.

So, the quarterfinals:
Djokovic-Berdych
Federer-Fish
Murray-Del Potro
Nadal-Ferrer

semis:
Federer-Djokovic
Nadal-Murray

final:
Murray-Djokovic

winner:
Murray

Yeah that's right. Although I'm really not ruling out Nadal, I get the feeling the winner of the US Open will come from the Nadal-Murray match. If it is a Federer-Djokovic semi, I expect another 5-setter, which will leave either man tired for the final (blame this stupid "Super Saturday" thing, ugh). I know a lot of people doubt Nadal's current mental strenght, but at slams he's a different person. Doesn't mean he's invincible, but still.
As for Federer...no, I can't see him winning this, he'll probably have a tough QF, and an even tougher semi, and I just can't see him play 3 great matches in a row. I want him to win, otherwise this will be the first year since 2002 where he hasn't won a slam! End of an era. Unless he suprises everyone here.
As for Djokovic, I get the feeling he'll either win here, or lose in the semi or the final, and then goes on to win the WTF.

Women
Do I really have to do the quarter by quarter analysis, even if we know it's going to be a S.Williams vs. Sharapova final? Heh.

Okay fine. First quarter: Wozniacki might already get Kuznetsova or Hantuchova in round 4. She'll no doubt fluke-win again, but Petkovic will not be that easy. Petko will have to get past Li Na first, but I'm still going with a Petkovic - Wozniacki QF.

Second quarter: a more interesting quarter, with Azarenka, Serena Williams, Schiavone, Ivanovic and Jankovic in it. Azarenka-S.Williams might be a 3rd round, but I don't think Serena is going to have any trouble with her. 4th round should be Williams-Ivanovic. Other 4th round should be Jankovic-Schiavone, I'm going with Jankovic winning that match. So, a Jankovic-Williams QF.

Third quarter: Wimbledon winner Kvitova on one side, Wimbledon runner-up Sharapova on the other side. Bring it on! There are some dangerous floaters in this quarter, but I'm still going with a Kvitova-Sharapova QF, and Maria taking revenge for her Wimbledon loss.

Fourth quarter: probably the most open quarter. Bartoli-Zvonareva would be the logical QF choices, but this quarter also has Venus Williams, Petrova, Lisicki, Stosur and Cibulkova. Zvonareva - V.Williams and Stosur-Bartoli are likely 4th round matches, so let's say...a Zvonareva-Stosur QF?

semis:
Serena Williams -Petkovic
Sharapova - Zvonareva

final:
Serena Williams - Sharapova

winner:
Sharapova. No wait, Serena. On second thought...Sharapova. Maybe. I don't know. Okay, you know what? Sharapova. There.

Anything else? No. Bye.